Modelling the COVID-19 pandemic: variants and vaccines

Summary

In December 2019, a new coronavirus, the SARS-CoV-2, was detected in the Chinese city of Wuhan. Since then, many mathematical models have been developed to study the possible evolution of the COVID-19 disease and shed some light on the different biological processes of concern. On 14 December 2020, the United Kingdom reported a potentially more contagious and lethal variant of the virus, at the same time that different vaccines were being tested in order to prevent severe forms of the disease. In the following lines, we revisit a model proposed by our team, which took into account these two determining facts, showing its performance with real Italian data.

Abstract

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