Abstract

n innovative risk analysis model has been developed in order to quantify and analyse safety risks related to loss-of- containment scenarios in the pipeline transport of CO2. The risk model integrates the identified failure modes, consequence estimates and emergency response, producing consistent risk profiles based on complete outcome spaces and for different system design choices. The method involves integration in a Bayesian Belief Network (BN) of analytical equations for gas dispersion combined with statistics and expert estimates of particularly uncertain variables. Future failure initiators, scenarios and impacts are captured in a graphical structure which represents and calculates the effects of common causes. The test case for the integrated risk model will be a large CO2 capture and transport network at the Le Havre industrial zone with export to Rotterdam. The primary relative advantages of the BN risk model approach are discussed.


Original document

The different versions of the original document can be found in:

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.179
https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S1876610213004220?httpAccept=text/plain,
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.179 under the license https://www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/
https://repository.tudelft.nl/view/tno/uuid%3A13c96d6e-8d40-4701-a3bf-784f97e50664,
https://core.ac.uk/display/82610485,
https://www.narcis.nl/publication/RecordID/oai%3Atudelft.nl%3Auuid%3Ac5eb8bab-07eb-4e6f-bbfd-0fcd2d25715c,
https://repository.tudelft.nl/islandora/object/uuid:c5eb8bab-07eb-4e6f-bbfd-0fcd2d25715c/datastream/OBJ/download,
https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/2064332169
Back to Top

Document information

Published on 01/01/2013

Volume 2013, 2013
DOI: 10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.179
Licence: Other

Document Score

0

Views 0
Recommendations 0

Share this document

claim authorship

Are you one of the authors of this document?