Analysis of the impact of bilateral and transit quotas on Turkey's international trade by road transport : an integrated maximum flow and gravity model approach


== Abstract ==

Çekyay, Bora (Dogus Author) -- Palut, Peral Toktaş (Dogus Author) -- Özaydın, Özay (Dogus Author) We explore whether bilateral and transit quotas applied by EU countries on Turkey have a negative impact on Turkey's international trade by road transport. Therefore, Turkey's exports by road transport to selected European countries are analyzed in a panel-data framework for the period 2005–2014. We estimate the aggregate effect of different quota types on trade between Turkey and European countries by using an approach that integrates the max-flow and gravity models. In the gravity model, for each country, a single value representing the aggregate restricting effect of different quota types is needed. The single values are obtained by solving multiple max-flow problems, where constraining effects of different quota types are modeled as arc capacities. The results of the gravity model suggest a loss in Turkish exports by road transport because of the quotas imposed by other countries. Most of the negative impact results from bilateral quotas rather than from transit quotas, whose effect is rather marginal.


== Original document ==

The different versions of the original document can be found in:

* [https://hdl.handle.net/11376/3172 https://hdl.handle.net/11376/3172]

* [https://hdl.handle.net/11376/3227 https://hdl.handle.net/11376/3227]

* [https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S0739885917300707?httpAccept=text/xml https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S0739885917300707?httpAccept=text/xml],
: [https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S0739885917300707?httpAccept=text/plain https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S0739885917300707?httpAccept=text/plain],
: [http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2017.04.006 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2017.04.006] under the license https://www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/

* [https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0739885917300707 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0739885917300707],
: [https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/retrec/v66y2017icp70-77.html https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/retrec/v66y2017icp70-77.html],
: [http://research.sabanciuniv.edu/34237 http://research.sabanciuniv.edu/34237],
: [https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:retrec:v:66:y:2017:i:c:p:70-77 https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:retrec:v:66:y:2017:i:c:p:70-77],
: [http://openaccess.dogus.edu.tr/xmlui/handle/11376/3172 http://openaccess.dogus.edu.tr/xmlui/handle/11376/3172],
: [https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/2620648312 https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/2620648312]