Nonlinear Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models for Traffic Congestion Estimation


== Abstract ==

The considerable impact of congestion on transportation networks is reflected by the vast amount of research papers dedicated to congestion identification, modeling, and alleviation. Despite this, the statistical characteristics of congestion, and particularly of its duration, have not been systematically studied, regardless of the fact that they can offer significant insights on its formation, effects and alleviation. We extend previous research by proposing the autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) approach for modeling congestion duration in urban signalized arterials. Results based on data from a signalized arterial indicate that a multiregime nonlinear ACD model best describes the observed congestion duration data while when it lasts longer than 18 minutes, traffic exhibits persistence and slow recovery rate.

Document type: Article

== Full document ==
<pdf>Media:Draft_Content_457167774-beopen159-8472-document.pdf</pdf>


== Original document ==

The different versions of the original document can be found in:

* [http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/jps/2011/798953.pdf http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/jps/2011/798953.pdf] under the license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by

* [http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/798953 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/798953] under the license cc-by

* [http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/jps/2011/798953.pdf http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/jps/2011/798953.pdf],
: [http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/jps/2011/798953.xml http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/jps/2011/798953.xml],
: [http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/798953 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/798953]

* [http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/798953 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/798953],
: [https://doaj.org/toc/1687-952X https://doaj.org/toc/1687-952X],
: [https://doaj.org/toc/1687-9538 https://doaj.org/toc/1687-9538] under the license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

* [https://www.hindawi.com/journals/jps/2011/798953 https://www.hindawi.com/journals/jps/2011/798953],
: [http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/jps/2011/798953.pdf http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/jps/2011/798953.pdf],
: [https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/2075580715 https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/2075580715]